The Tape
Was Dirk Nowitzki better than Nikola Jokic?
Dirk Nowitzki, 1998-2019, against Nikola Jokic, 2015-present. The numbers levelled to one league, then the call.
Method, stated plainly: scoring is adjusted to a league averaging 114 points per team per game. Rebounds and assists are printed as they were recorded, with the league scoring rate beside them, because a rebound in 1962 came out of a different number of missed shots and we will not pretend one multiplier fixes that. Career lines for active players run through 2024-25.
What the numbers say
Adjusted to a league averaging 114 points a game, Dirk Nowitzki is the bigger scorer: 31.3 a game in 2005-06 against 26.4 for Nikola Jokic in 2023-24. That is a real gap of 4.9 points, not an era illusion — Dirk Nowitzki's league averaged 97 and Nikola Jokic's averaged 114.2.
Nikola Jokic wins the glass by 3.4 rebounds a game (12.4 to 9), which in his era meant standing in traffic rather than waiting for a long one.
Nikola Jokic is the passer: 9 assists a game to 2.8, and that is the difference between running an offense and finishing one.
Dirk Nowitzki: The 7-footer who made the fadeaway jumper a franchise, 10 years before every big man had to shoot. Nikola Jokic: Three MVPs for a passing center, which is the 1977 Portland idea with a 3-point line attached.
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